Betting

Week 11 NFL Matchups: Breakdowns, Odds, Predictions

Week 11 is here and the 2018 NFL season is flying by. This week features what may be the most anticipated matchup of the season along with critical matchups that could effect playoff lives. Take a loon into the breakdowns, betting odds, and predictions for each game.

Chris Carson.jpg

Green Bay Packers (4-4-1) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-5) (Thursday Night)

  • Time/Venue: 8:20 PM, CerturyLink Field
  • Moneyline: SEA -145, GB +125
  • Spread: SEA -2.5 (-120), GB +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: O 49 (-108), U 49 (-112)
  • Spread Consensus: 54% SEA -2.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 65% O 49
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: SEA 29.9 – GB 19.0
  • Record Against the Spread: SEA (5-3-1), GB (4-5)

Pick – Packers

This will be a tough game, but Green Bay is fighting for more as they’re trying to stay in the NFC North battle. They’re currently third behind the Vikings and Bears. They’ve also found a hidden gem in running back Aaron Jones who had breakout performance last week running 15 times for 145 yards and two touchdowns. Seattle has dropped back to back games and their total offense is ranked 22nd. Green Bay takes the edge in this matchup.

 

Tevin Coleman

Dallas Cowboys (4-5) @ Atlanta Falcons (4-5)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM. Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Moneyline: ATL -175, DAL +155
  • Spread: ATL -3.5 (+100), DAL (-120)
  • Over/Under: O 48 (-115), U 48 (-105)
  • Spread Consensus: 56% ATL -3.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 71% O 48
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: ATL 28.0 – DAL 23.2
  • Record Against the Spread: ATL (3-6), DAL (4-5)

Pick – Falcons

Atlanta suffered a bad loss last week to the Browns, which hurts their playoff chances even more. They’ll take their anger out at home this week against the Cowboys. Although they’re poor record of 4-5 shows, Atlanta ranks 5th in the league in total offense. Dallas ranks 27th in that category, and it’ll be the difference maker in this one as it could be a high scoring affair. Dallas also has a poor road record of 1-4.

 

DJ Moore.jpg

Caronia Panthers (6-3) @ Detroit Lions (3-6)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM, Ford Field
  • Moneyline: CAR -195, DET +170
  • Spread: CAR -3.5 (-115), DET +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: O 51 (-102), U 51 (-118)
  • Spread Consensus: 65% CAR -3.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 57% O 51
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: CAR 27.0 – DET 22.2
  • Record Against the Spread: CAR (5-4), DET (5-4)

Pick – Panthers

Even though Carolina suffered a blowout loss last week to Pittsburgh, they’re still a strong ball club. They need to win every game they can to stay in the playoff race and they’re behind New Orleans in the NFC South. Detroit has a ton of problems right now and they’ve lost three in a row. Detroit can’t stop anyone on the ground ranked 28th in the league, and this is horrible news for them that Carolina has third best rushing offense. Look for a lot of read options and jet sweeps from Carolina on Sunday.

 

San Francisco 49ers v Indianapolis Colts

Tennessee Titans (5-4) @ Indianapolis Colts (4-5)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM, Lucas Oil Stadium
  • Moneyline: IND -130, TEN +110
  • Spread: IND -2 (-113), TEN +2 (-107)
  • Over/Under: O 48.5 (-110), U 48.5 (-110)
  • Spread Consensus: 55% TEN +2
  • Over/Under Consensus: 62% O 48.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: IND 27.4 – TEN 21.6
  • Record Against the Spread: IND (4-4-1), TEN (6-3)

Pick – Titans

Tennessee has shown its major potential this season. They beat their division rival Houston who’s hot right now and the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles. Last week, they beat up the Patriots by 24 points, which gives them a huge confidence boost for the rest of the season. Indianapolis has won three games in a row, but they were against the worst teams in the league this season (Buffalo, Oakland, Jacksonville). Luck and the Colts receivers may have a tough time going against the number six ranked total defense.

 

NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) @ New York Giants (2-7)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM, MetLife Stadium
  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Spread: NYG -2 (-110), TB +2 (-110)
  • Over/Under: O 52 (-107), U 52 (-113)
  • Spread Consensus: 55% NYG -2
  • Over/Under Consensus:  63% O 52
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: NYG 27.6 – TB 25.2
  • Record Against the Spread: NYG (4-5), TB (3-6)

Pick – Giants

The biggest difference in this game will come down to star power, and the Giants have two of the brightest young stars in the game. Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham are good enough where they can make the necessary plays to beat the Bucs. Other than these two, both teams are similar in statistical rankings this season. Giants also have home field advantage, which will be another factor on Sunday.

 

Houston Texans v Denver Broncos

Houston Texans (6-3) @ Washington Redskins (6-3)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM, FedEX Field
  • Moneyline: HOU -145, WAS (+125)
  • Spread: HOU -2.5 (-120), WAS +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: O 42.5 (-105), U 42.5 (-115)
  • Spread Consensus: 59% HOU -2.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 53% O 42.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: HOU 27.5 – WAS 17.2
  • Record Against the Spread: HOU (4-5), WAS (6-3)

Pick – Texans

Houston is fresh off of a bye week which gave them additional rest and study to take on the Redskins. The addition of wideout Demaryius Thomas was a great move, and it gives DeAndre Hopkins more freedom as they have two big receiving threats over just one. Washington has some impressive wins, but their offense can’t be trusted. Their total offense and passing offense is ranked 26th in the league, making them rely a lot on their run game. If Houston, who ranks 6th in rushing defense, can stop the run Alex Smith will have a long day ahead of him.

 

John Ross.jpg

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) @ Baltimore Ravens (4-5)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM, M&T Bank Stadium
  • Moneyline: 
  • Spread: 
  • Over/Under: 
  • Spread Consensus: 
  • Over/Under Consensus: 
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: 
  • Record Against the Spread: 

Pick –

*Pick will be published when lines are available*

Antonio Brown

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2-1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6)

  • Time/Venue: 1:00 PM, TIAA Bank Field
  • Moneyline: PIT -240, JAC +200
  • Spread: PIT -6 (-105), JAC +6 (-115)
  • Over/Under: O 47.5 (-110), U 47.5 (-110)
  • Spread Consensus: 64% PIT -6
  • Over/Under Consensus: 63% O 47.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: PIT 29.6 – JAC 17.0
  • Record Against the Spread: PIT (6-3), JAC (3-5-1)

Pick – Steelers

Pittsburgh is rolling with five wins in a row and they’ll stay red hot on Sunday. After entering the season with a ton of hype and a 3-1 start, the Jaguars have fell off the map. They’ve dropped five straight games and both their offense and defense look defeated. This could get ugly for Jacksonville if they can’t contain the Steelers high-powered offense.

 

NFL: Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals

Oakland Raiders (1-8) @ Arizona Cardinals (2-7)

  • Time/Venue: 4:05 PM, State Farm Stadium
  • Moneyline: ARI -215, OAK +185
  • Spread: ARI -4.5 (-115), OAK +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: O 40.5 (-110), U 40.5 (-110)
  • Spread Consensus: 67% OAK +4.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 54% O 40.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: ARI (5-3-1), OAK (2-7)
  • Record Against the Spread: ARI (5-3-1), OAK (2-7)

Pick – Cardinals

In three of their last four games, the Raiders put up three points in week six, three points in week nine, then just six points last week. Their offense hasn’t been able to do anything whatsoever. Not much can be said about Arizona, but they’ve shown to at least put up more of a fight than Oakland.

 

NFL: Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns

Denver Broncos (3-6) @ Los Angeles Chargers (7-2)

  • Time/Venue: 4:05 PM, StubHub Center
  • Moneyline: LAC -340, DEN +285
  • Spread: LAC -7 (-110), DEN +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: O 46.5 (-115), U 46.5 (-105)
  • Spread Consensus: 56% LAC -7
  • Over/Under Consensus: 57%O 46.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: LAC 34.3 – DEN 11.5
  • Record Against the Spread: LAC (5-4), DEN (3-5-1)

Pick – Chargers

Somehow someway, no one is talking about the Chargers with their 7-2 record with six straight wins. They’re very underrated, and they could make noise in the playoffs if they get there. Denver’s defense hasn’t looked the same as recent years, but their offense shows flashes from time to time. However, this game will come down to the Chargers good offense versus the Broncos poor defense, and LA has the clear edge in that case.

 

Alvin Kamara

Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) @ New Orleans Saints (8-1)

  • Time/Venue: 4:25 PM, Superdome
  • Moneyline: NO -400, PHI +330
  • Spread: NO -9 (-105), PHI +9 (-115)
  • Over/Under: O 54.5 (-120), U 54.5 (+100)
  • Spread Consensus: 58% NO -9
  • Over/Under Consensus: 73% O 54.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: NO 36.4 – PHI 16.8
  • Record Against the Spread: NO (7-2), PHI (3-6)

Pick – Saints

New Orleans offense is unstoppable, period. They put up big numbers on the scoreboard every week, and this week won’t be different. They’re at home against the defending champion Eagles, who may have the biggest Super Bowl hangover of all time. They’ve lost four of six games and their secondary and offensive line look nowhere as good from a season ago. The Saints may have another field day in the Superdome.

 

Allen Robinson.jpg

Minnesota Vikings (5-3-1) @ Chicago Bears (6-3)

  • Time/Venue: 8:20 PM, Soldier Field
  • Moneyline: CHI -145, MIN +125
  • Spread: CHI -2.5 (-118), MIN +2.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under: O 45 (-110), U 45 (-110)
  • Spread Consensus: 51% CHI -2.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 62% O 45
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: CHI 33.0 – MIN 14.3
  • Record Against the Spread: CHI (6-3), MIN (4-3-2)

Pick – Bears

The Bears have everything going in the right direction for them. They’ve won big in three straight games, and they look good on both sides of the ball. Minnesota looks okay, just okay. They have five wins, but they’re not that impressive as they’re against all teams with a below .500 record. Playing on their home field also gives the Bears an advantage in this one.

 

Tyreek Hill

Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) @ Los Angeles Rams (9-1) (Monday Night)

  • Time/Venue: 8:15 PM, Los Angeles Coliseum
  • Moneyline: LAR -175, KC +155
  • Spread: LAR -3.5 (-106), KC +3.5 (-114)
  • Over/Under: O 63.5 (-105), U 63.5 (-115)
  • Spread Consensus: 66% KC +3.5
  • Over/Under Consensus: 65% O 63.5
  • Odds Shark Predicted Score: LAR 29.3 – KC 27.5
  • Record Against the Spread: LAR (4-5-1), KC (8-2)

Pick – Rams

Honestly, this is a 50/50 game and it’s too close to call. This is a highly anticipated matchup that all football fans will be tuned into on Monday night. Both teams can put up big numbers and they’ve done it throughout the season. The difference in this one is defense. Kansas City ranks 29th in total defense while the Rams rank 13th. However, the Rams have given up 34.3 points per game in their last three contests, so they are vulnerable. This is a game everyone’s excited for and we’ll wait to see the results on Monday Night Football.

 

Bye: Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New York Jets, San Francisco 49ers

 

Photo Source for Images: USA Today Sports

 

Leave a Reply